I have been paying attention to history my entire life, I have seen the repercussions of events before and during my life.
My visit to Kyiv last summer has personalized this war with Russia invading more of Ukraine more than any other world history event in my lifetime.
And I have some thoughts.
1. Russia cannot win unless they completely pull out of the Ukraine and help to rebuild the country. That's not going to happen, I don't believe. So Russia is probably the most isolated country in the history of the world and will not change if they "win". So if Russia wins, it loses. Maybe not so much Vladimir Putin, but the Russian people who have been victimized by this action.
2. Vladimir Zelensky, the President of Ukraine, has had multiple attempts on his life from Russian agents. Zelensky has become a popular, strong leader not just in Ukraine, but throughout the world. If he lives, he will be one of the most popular politicians/leaders ever, but if he dies, he becomes a heroic martyr. Many Ukrainian people will never fight if Zelensky is killed.
3. War is horrific. It happens every day somewhere in the world. The vision here could be given to too many places in the world.
4. If Russia uses a false flag to bomb somewhere inside the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, World War III will have started. Any aggression towards a NATO country will be a direct attack on the United States. This will get the US involved and will escalate the fighting. If there is any indication of how bad Russia's military is from it's lack of quick win in Ukraine, then they could very well feel pushed in a corner. That corner could have just one option and that is a nuclear military strike. Escalation is not good, yet we cannot let this stand.
5. This is not President Trump's or President Biden's fault. I don't care how either President handled Ukraine or Putin before this. This invasion is completely and totally the leader of Russia Vladimir Putin's fault. To make this a political gain to blame a US President is wrong.
6. There are three options here: complete Russian pullout, guerrilla warfare for a long time under Russian occupation or escalation. The first is the best, but I am not sure it will happen.
